Write a short research paper for a peer-reviewed research paper that pertains to the week’s assigned reading.
Write a short research paper for a peer-reviewed research paper that pertains to the week’s assigned reading. This will be a detailed summary of the research paper and what you gained from the research. Each week, you will find an article/peer-reviewed research paper that pertains to the week’s assignment.
Please find the attached documents
ITS 832 CHAPTER 4 POLICY MAKING AND MODELLING IN A COMPLEX WORLD
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY
DR. JORDON SHAW
INTRODUCTION
• Policy Making and Modelling in a Complex World
• Complexity
• Managing Complex Systems
• Modelling for Complex Systems
COMPLEXITY
• System composed of multiple interacting elements
• Possible behavioral states can combine in ways that are hard to predict
• Many complex systems in the physical world
• Adaptive capacity of organisms allow for long-term survival in complex systems
• Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS)
DOUBLE PENDULUM EXAMPLE
COMMON MISTAKES IN MANAGING COMPLEX SYSTEMS
• Quantification • Policy is biased towards easily quantifiable features • Most often, monetary quantification • Commonly overlooks important non-quantifiable aspects
• Compartmentalization • Attempts to simplify complex social systems • Large systems are split into smaller systems • Likely to miss interactions between smaller systems
• Spillover effect
COMPLEXITY IN POLICY MAKING
• Common approaches • Instrumental
• Choosing between a set of possible policies
• Evaluated based on past effectiveness
• Requires • Large enough pool of available strategies
• Effective assessment if effectiveness
• Representational • Series of models
• Each is assessed on its ability to predict observed behavior
INSTRUMENTAL APPROACH
REPRESENTATIONAL APPROACH
AGENT-BASED MODELS
• Represents individuals as separate models
• Agents interact through a network
• Distributed nature allows for realistic interactions
• SIMSOC
• Simulated Society
• Modeling projects repository
SUMMARY
• Complex systems are difficult to model
• Interactions can be unpredictable
• Common mistakes in modeling complex systems • Quantification
• Compartmentalization
• Two common approaches to complex system modeling • Instrumental
• Representational
• Agent-based modelin